Football · Peru Liga 2 · 07/10, 17:45

Prediction: Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Santos FC

Team pages: Academia Deportiva Cantolao · Santos FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Academia Deportiva Cantolao1.47

Santos FC1.31

1X2

40% 28% 33%

Academia Deportiva Cantolao Draw Santos FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDLWDD

Santos FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLDLWL

Head-to-head

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1–4 Santos FC (5 last)

Santos FC2-0Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Academia Deportiva Cantolao1-2Santos FC
Academia Deportiva Cantolao1-2Santos FC
Santos FC2-0Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Academia Deportiva Cantolao2-1Santos FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1460 · Santos FC 1466

	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	Draw	Santos FC
Our model	40%	28%	33%
Market	40%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santos FC: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	Santos FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	3.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:06 +14’	2.25	3.25	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1–0–4 Santos FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/07/25 Peru Liga 2	Santos FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Academia Deportiva Cantolao
17/05/25 Peru Liga 2	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	1-2 HT 1-0	Santos FC
04/10/24 Peru Liga 2	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	1-2 HT 0-0	Santos FC
11/06/24 Peru Liga 2	Santos FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Academia Deportiva Cantolao
15/04/24 Peru Liga 2	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	2-1 HT 0-1	Santos FC

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	1	1	2	2	1
2	Deportivo Binacional	1	1	2	2	0
3	Santos FC	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

LLDDLDLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/09	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
05/09	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
29/08	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
23/08	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
01/08	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/07	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
31/05	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	0-2	0-4	1	9	L
24/05	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-3	0-3	7	3	L

Santos FC

LLWLWLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Union Minas Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
30/08	Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2	1-1	1-3	11	7	L
17/08	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	1-1	3-3	3	5	D
08/08	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
26/07	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
19/07	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	1-0	3-1	3	2	W
29/05	Union Minas Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
23/05	CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Santos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Deportiva Cantolao win (40%). Probabilities: Academia Deportiva Cantolao 40%, draw 28%, Santos FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Santos FC?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1.47 · Santos FC 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Santos FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.