Football · Panama Liga Prom · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: Plaza Amador Reserves vs Panama City FC
Team pages: Plaza Amador Reserves · Panama City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Plaza Amador Reserves1.62
Panama City FC1.22
1X2
Plaza Amador Reserves
Draw
Panama City FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Plaza Amador Reserves
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Panama City FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Plaza Amador Reserves
1–1–4
Panama City FC
(6 last)
- Panama City FC2-1Plaza Amador Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves1-3Panama City FC
- Panama City FC1-3Plaza Amador Reserves
- Panama City FC1-1Plaza Amador Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves1-3Panama City FC
- Plaza Amador Reserves0-2Panama City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Plaza Amador Reserves 1491 · Panama City FC 1542
| Plaza Amador Reserves | Draw | Panama City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panama City FC (rating 1491 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Panama City FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plaza Amador Reserves | Panama City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador Reserves 1–1–4 Panama City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Panama City FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 19/09/25 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Panama City FC |
| 23/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | Panama City FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 12/10/24 Panama Liga Prom | Panama City FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 10/08/24 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Panama City FC |
| 21/01/24 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Panama City FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 1 | Tauro FC Reserves | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plaza Amador Reserves | Panama City FC |
|---|---|---|
| UMECIT Reserves | 6-4 W | 0-1 L |
| Champions FC Academy | 6-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Potros Del Este | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 4-4 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Panama City FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plaza Amador Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 6-4 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 6-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
Panama City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 09/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Panama City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador Reserves win (46%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador Reserves 46%, draw 27%, Panama City FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Panama City FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Plaza Amador Reserves 1.62 · Panama City FC 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Panama City FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.