Football · Panama Liga Prom · 19/09, 23:00
Prediction: Herrera FC Reserves vs San Francisco Reserves
Team pages: Herrera FC Reserves · San Francisco Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Herrera FC Reserves0.78
San Francisco Reserves2.78
1X2
Herrera FC Reserves
Draw
San Francisco Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Herrera FC Reserves
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
San Francisco Reserves
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Herrera FC Reserves
1–5
San Francisco Reserves
(6 last)
- Herrera FC Reserves0-2San Francisco Reserves
- Herrera FC Reserves1-2San Francisco Reserves
- San Francisco Reserves0-1Herrera FC Reserves
- Herrera FC Reserves0-1San Francisco Reserves
- San Francisco Reserves1-0Herrera FC Reserves
- Herrera FC Reserves2-5San Francisco Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Herrera FC Reserves 1408 · San Francisco Reserves 1503
| Herrera FC Reserves | Draw | San Francisco Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 7% | 14% | 79% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Francisco Reserves (rating 1408 vs 1503).
- H2H favours San Francisco Reserves: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Herrera FC Reserves | San Francisco Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC Reserves 1–0–5 San Francisco Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 0-2 | San Francisco Reserves |
| 20/09/25 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 1-2 | San Francisco Reserves |
| 21/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Francisco Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Herrera FC Reserves |
| 21/09/24 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Francisco Reserves |
| 22/03/24 Panama Liga Prom | San Francisco Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Herrera FC Reserves |
| 23/09/23 Panama Liga Prom | Herrera FC Reserves | 2-5 HT 1-1 | San Francisco Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Udelas FC | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | SD Atletico Nacional | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | San Francisco Reserves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Herrera FC Reserves | San Francisco Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Udelas FC | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Aguilas de la U | 0-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Veraguas United Reserves | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Bocas | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Francisco Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herrera FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
San Francisco Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herrera FC Reserves vs San Francisco Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Francisco Reserves win (79%). Probabilities: Herrera FC Reserves 7%, draw 14%, San Francisco Reserves 79%.
How many goals are expected in Herrera FC Reserves vs San Francisco Reserves?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Herrera FC Reserves 0.78 · San Francisco Reserves 2.78), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Herrera FC Reserves vs San Francisco Reserves?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.