Football · Panama Liga Prom · 20/09, 03:00
Prediction: UMECIT Reserves vs San Martin FC
Team pages: UMECIT Reserves · San Martin FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
UMECIT Reserves1.77
San Martin FC1.23
1X2
UMECIT Reserves
Draw
San Martin FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
UMECIT Reserves
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
San Martin FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UMECIT Reserves
2–2–2
San Martin FC
(6 last)
- San Martin FC2-0UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves0-2San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-1UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves2-2San Martin FC
- San Martin FC4-5UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves4-1San Martin FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UMECIT Reserves 1480 · San Martin FC 1427
| UMECIT Reserves | Draw | San Martin FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UMECIT Reserves (rating 1480 vs 1427).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UMECIT Reserves | San Martin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 14/29/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.7 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT Reserves 2–2–2 San Martin FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 24/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | San Martin FC |
| 19/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 01/09/24 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-1 | San Martin FC |
| 18/03/24 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 4-5 HT 2-2 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 01/10/23 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 4-1 HT 2-0 | San Martin FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Tauro FC Reserves | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 13 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UMECIT Reserves | San Martin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 4-6 L | 2-3 L |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Potros Del Este | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Champions FC Academy | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: UMECIT Reserves (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UMECIT Reserves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-3 | 4-6 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/07 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
San Martin FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UMECIT Reserves vs San Martin FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UMECIT Reserves win (49%). Probabilities: UMECIT Reserves 49%, draw 26%, San Martin FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in UMECIT Reserves vs San Martin FC?
The model expects 3 goals (UMECIT Reserves 1.77 · San Martin FC 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UMECIT Reserves vs San Martin FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.