Football · Panama Liga Prom · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Aguilas de la U vs CD Universitario Reserves

Team pages: Aguilas de la U · CD Universitario Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Aguilas de la U2.1

CD Universitario Reserves1.08

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Aguilas de la U Draw CD Universitario Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Aguilas de la U 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWWWWW

CD Universitario Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDWLWD

Head-to-head

Aguilas de la U 3–2–1 CD Universitario Reserves (6 last)

Aguilas de la U0-0CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves1-1Aguilas de la U
CD Universitario Reserves1-2Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U0-1CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves2-3Aguilas de la U
CD Universitario Reserves1-2Aguilas de la U

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aguilas de la U 1594 · CD Universitario Reserves 1523

	Aguilas de la U	Draw	CD Universitario Reserves
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1594 vs 1523).
H2H favours Aguilas de la U: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aguilas de la U	CD Universitario Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.6	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	6.9 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:19 +10’	1.50	4.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguilas de la U 3–2–1 CD Universitario Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario Reserves
06/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	Aguilas de la U
25/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	1-2	Aguilas de la U
30/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Universitario Reserves
26/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	2-3 HT 0-1	Aguilas de la U
10/03/23 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	1-2 HT 0-1	Aguilas de la U

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	8	7	0	1	26	5	21
2	Udelas FC	9	7	0	2	23	10	21
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	9	5	3	1	19	13	18
4	SD Atletico Nacional	9	5	0	4	19	20	15
5	San Francisco Reserves	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
6	Union Cocle Reserves	9	1	3	5	10	17	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aguilas de la U	CD Universitario Reserves
La Familia FC	3-2 W	4-3 W
Herrera FC Reserves	6-0 W	3-1 W
Rayados de Chiriqui	4-0 W	2-1 W
Udelas FC	2-0 W	1-2 L
SD Atletico Nacional	4-1 W	1-3 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	0-1 L	2-1 W
Union Cocle Reserves	5-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aguilas de la U

DDWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	3-2	3-2	7	3	W
05/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	6-0	–	–	W
29/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
15/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
01/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
26/07	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-1	4	7	W
10/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
06/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	10	6	D

CD Universitario Reserves

DLWWWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
05/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
28/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-3	1	7	L
22/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-3	4-3	15	9	W
15/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
08/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
24/07	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
15/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
10/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aguilas de la U vs CD Universitario Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aguilas de la U win (60%). Probabilities: Aguilas de la U 60%, draw 22%, CD Universitario Reserves 18%.

How many goals are expected in Aguilas de la U vs CD Universitario Reserves?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Aguilas de la U 2.1 · CD Universitario Reserves 1.08), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aguilas de la U vs CD Universitario Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.