Football · Panama Liga Prom · 18/09, 03:00

Prediction: Champions FC Academy vs Chorrillo

Team pages: Champions FC Academy · Chorrillo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Champions FC Academy1.33

Chorrillo2.4

1X2

19% 21% 60%

Champions FC Academy Draw Chorrillo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Champions FC Academy 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLDLLD

Chorrillo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWWDLW

Head-to-head

Champions FC Academy 1–1–1 Chorrillo (3 last)

Champions FC Academy4-3Chorrillo
Chorrillo2-1Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy2-2Chorrillo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Champions FC Academy 1445 · Chorrillo 1512

	Champions FC Academy	Draw	Chorrillo
Our model	19%	20%	60%
Market	19%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chorrillo (rating 1445 vs 1512).
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Champions FC Academy	Chorrillo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.8	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/0/90%	13/50/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	6.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.20

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.93

2 (-1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +36’	4.75	4.20	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Champions FC Academy 1–1–1 Chorrillo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	4-3	Chorrillo
19/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Chorrillo	2-1 HT 1-0	Champions FC Academy
23/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	2-2	Chorrillo

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	8	4	3	1	13	6	15
1	Tauro FC Reserves	8	4	3	1	13	6	15
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	8	4	0	4	19	16	12
4	Potros Del Este	8	3	1	4	7	8	10
5	Alianza FC Reserves	8	2	2	4	7	13	8
6	San Martin FC	8	1	1	6	12	17	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Champions FC Academy	Chorrillo
San Martin FC	2-2 D	4-1 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	1-6 L	3-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves	1-5 L	2-2 D
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-2 D	0-0 D
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	5-3 W	0-1 L
Academia Costa Del Este	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chorrillo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Champions FC Academy

LWLLWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	5	10	D
04/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-6	4	3	L
28/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-5	4	5	L
21/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
15/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
07/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	4-1	5-3	3	5	W
02/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
24/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
25/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-3	0-9	5	8	L

Chorrillo

LLDWDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-2	3-2	6	10	W
05/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
20/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
12/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
06/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
30/07	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
24/07	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
30/04	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
23/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-4	0-4	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Champions FC Academy vs Chorrillo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chorrillo win (60%). Probabilities: Champions FC Academy 19%, draw 21%, Chorrillo 60%.

How many goals are expected in Champions FC Academy vs Chorrillo?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Champions FC Academy 1.33 · Chorrillo 2.4), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Champions FC Academy vs Chorrillo?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.