Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Aviles Stadium CF vs CD Colunga

Team pages: Aviles Stadium CF · CD Colunga

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Aviles Stadium CF1.46

CD Colunga1.07

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Aviles Stadium CF Draw CD Colunga

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Aviles Stadium CF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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CD Colunga 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Aviles Stadium CF 1–3–2 CD Colunga (6 last)

CD Colunga0-0Aviles Stadium CF
Aviles Stadium CF0-0CD Colunga
Aviles Stadium CF0-4CD Colunga
CD Colunga1-1Aviles Stadium CF
CD Colunga3-1Aviles Stadium CF
Aviles Stadium CF3-2CD Colunga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aviles Stadium CF 1443 · CD Colunga 1458

	Aviles Stadium CF	Draw	CD Colunga
Our model	45%	29%	27%
Market	46%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Colunga: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aviles Stadium CF	CD Colunga
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.6 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/25/63%	17/17/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.6	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.32
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.51 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +3’	1.95	3.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +42’	1.95	3.32	3.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aviles Stadium CF 1–3–2 CD Colunga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 2	CD Colunga	0-0	Aviles Stadium CF
23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	Aviles Stadium CF	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Colunga
09/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	Aviles Stadium CF	0-4 HT 0-1	CD Colunga
27/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	CD Colunga	1-1 HT 0-0	Aviles Stadium CF
24/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	CD Colunga	3-1	Aviles Stadium CF
05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 2	Aviles Stadium CF	3-2 HT 1-1	CD Colunga

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Gijon B	9	6	2	1	16	8	20
2	Covadonga	8	6	1	1	22	8	19
3	Lealtad	9	5	2	2	13	4	17
4	Condal	8	4	4	0	11	3	16
5	Caudal	8	4	3	1	11	8	15
6	Mosconia	9	4	3	2	15	13	15
7	El San Martin	9	4	3	2	13	13	15
8	Praviano	9	4	2	3	21	14	14
9	Gijon Industrial	9	4	2	3	15	11	14
10	Siero	9	4	0	5	11	12	12
11	CD Colunga	8	3	2	3	14	20	11
12	UP Langreo	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
13	Aviles Stadium CF	8	2	1	5	5	12	7
14	Oviedo Astur	8	0	5	3	9	14	5
14	UC Ceares	8	1	2	5	9	14	5
16	L'Entregu CF	9	1	2	6	5	17	5
17	Llanes	8	0	4	4	8	16	4
18	Andes CF	8	0	3	5	6	15	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aviles Stadium CF	CD Colunga
Lealtad	0-2 L	0-4 L
Sporting Gijon B	1-2 L	0-4 L
Praviano	1-0 W	5-5 D
L'Entregu CF	0-1 L	0-0 D
Covadonga	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aviles Stadium CF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aviles Stadium CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
18/10	UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
04/10	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
27/09	Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2	0-2	1-2	5	7	L
20/09	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-4	2	4	L
10/05	UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
03/05	Real Titanico Laviana Spain Tercera Group 2	1-1	2-2	3	4	D

CD Colunga

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-4	4	4	L
18/10	Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
10/10	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	5-5	–	–	D
03/10	L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
26/09	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	0-2	4-3	7	5	W
13/09	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
06/09	Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	1-3	2-6	1	6	L
03/05	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aviles Stadium CF vs CD Colunga?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aviles Stadium CF win (45%). Probabilities: Aviles Stadium CF 45%, draw 28%, CD Colunga 27%.

How many goals are expected in Aviles Stadium CF vs CD Colunga?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Aviles Stadium CF 1.46 · CD Colunga 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aviles Stadium CF vs CD Colunga?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.