Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 31/10, 18:15

Prediction: L'Entregu CF vs Gijon Industrial

Team pages: L'Entregu CF · Gijon Industrial

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

L'Entregu CF1.47

Gijon Industrial1.02

1X2

47% 28% 25%

L'Entregu CF Draw Gijon Industrial

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

L'Entregu CF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDLDL

Gijon Industrial 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWDWL

Head-to-head

L'Entregu CF 4–1–1 Gijon Industrial (6 last)

L'Entregu CF1-1Gijon Industrial
Gijon Industrial1-3L'Entregu CF
Gijon Industrial0-2L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF3-1Gijon Industrial
L'Entregu CF4-2Gijon Industrial
Gijon Industrial3-2L'Entregu CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · L'Entregu CF 1424 · Gijon Industrial 1512

	L'Entregu CF	Draw	Gijon Industrial
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gijon Industrial (rating 1424 vs 1512).
H2H favours L'Entregu CF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	L'Entregu CF	Gijon Industrial
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/33/50%	14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.5	1.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.25

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.91▼	Pinn 1.96
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.40 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.90 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:25 +6’	1.95	3.25	3.40
22:29 +4’	2.10▲	3.20▼	3.10▼
06:13 +16’	1.91▼	3.25▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:18 +15’	2.23	3.08	3.07
00:55 +17’	1.95▼	3.08	3.83▲
16:51 +6’	1.96▲	3.12▲	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · L'Entregu CF 4–1–1 Gijon Industrial

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	1-1 HT 0-1	Gijon Industrial
07/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	Gijon Industrial	1-3 HT 1-2	L'Entregu CF
04/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	Gijon Industrial	0-2	L'Entregu CF
16/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	3-1 HT 1-1	Gijon Industrial
27/03/22 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	4-2 HT 2-2	Gijon Industrial
06/11/21 Spain Tercera Group 2	Gijon Industrial	3-2	L'Entregu CF

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Gijon B	9	6	2	1	16	8	20
2	Covadonga	8	6	1	1	22	8	19
3	Lealtad	9	5	2	2	13	4	17
4	Condal	8	4	4	0	11	3	16
5	Caudal	8	4	3	1	11	8	15
6	Mosconia	9	4	3	2	15	13	15
7	El San Martin	9	4	3	2	13	13	15
8	Praviano	9	4	2	3	21	14	14
9	Gijon Industrial	9	4	2	3	15	11	14
10	Siero	9	4	0	5	11	12	12
11	CD Colunga	8	3	2	3	14	20	11
12	UP Langreo	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
13	Aviles Stadium CF	8	2	1	5	5	12	7
14	Oviedo Astur	8	0	5	3	9	14	5
14	UC Ceares	8	1	2	5	9	14	5
16	L'Entregu CF	9	1	2	6	5	17	5
17	Llanes	8	0	4	4	8	16	4
18	Andes CF	8	0	3	5	6	15	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	L'Entregu CF	Gijon Industrial
Mosconia	1-3 L	0-2 L
El San Martin	1-1 D	2-0 W
CD Colunga	0-0 D	6-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gijon Industrial (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

L'Entregu CF

LWLWLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
18/10	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
03/10	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
26/09	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
20/09	UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
13/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
06/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-3	–	–	L

Gijon Industrial

DWWLDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-2	1	9	L
18/10	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
11/10	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
04/10	Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	3-0	–	–	W
27/09	Condal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
20/09	Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/09	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-2	1	0	L
06/09	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	3-1	6-2	9	6	W
03/05	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in L'Entregu CF vs Gijon Industrial?

According to our model, the most likely result is a L'Entregu CF win (47%). Probabilities: L'Entregu CF 47%, draw 28%, Gijon Industrial 25%.

How many goals are expected in L'Entregu CF vs Gijon Industrial?

The model expects 2.49 goals (L'Entregu CF 1.47 · Gijon Industrial 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in L'Entregu CF vs Gijon Industrial?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.