Football · Argentina Nacional B · 27/09, 20:30
Prediction: Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
Team pages: Los Andes · Deportivo Moron
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Los Andes0.93
Deportivo Moron0.93
1X2
Los Andes
Draw
Deportivo Moron
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Los Andes
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Moron
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Los Andes
1–3–1
Deportivo Moron
(5 last)
- Deportivo Moron0-0Los Andes
- Deportivo Moron3-0Los Andes
- Los Andes0-0Deportivo Moron
- Los Andes0-0Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron0-1Los Andes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Los Andes 1448 · Deportivo Moron 1548
| Los Andes | Draw | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Moron (rating 1448 vs 1548).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Andes | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Andes 1–3–1 Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Los Andes |
| 20/04/19 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Los Andes |
| 16/09/17 Argentina Nacional B | Los Andes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 07/10/14 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Los Andes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 19/08/14 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Moron | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Los Andes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 42 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 37 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 32 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 31 |
| 16 | CA San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24 | 34 | 31 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 34 | 26 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Andes | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| CA San Miguel | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| CA San Telmo | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Acassuso | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| CA Chaco For Ever | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Central Norte | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Madryn | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moron (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Andes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 05/09 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 27/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/08 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Los Andes 33%, draw 34%, Deportivo Moron 33%.
How many goals are expected in Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Los Andes 0.93 · Deportivo Moron 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.