Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: CA Chaco For Ever vs Defensores de Belgrano

Team pages: CA Chaco For Ever · Defensores de Belgrano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.68Total

CA Chaco For Ever0.96

Defensores de Belgrano0.71

1X2

40% 35% 26%

CA Chaco For Ever Draw Defensores de Belgrano

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Chaco For Ever 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDWDWL

Defensores de Belgrano 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWDWWL

Head-to-head

CA Chaco For Ever 3–3–0 Defensores de Belgrano (6 last)

Defensores de Belgrano0-0CA Chaco For Ever
Defensores de Belgrano0-0CA Chaco For Ever
CA Chaco For Ever1-0Defensores de Belgrano
Defensores de Belgrano0-0CA Chaco For Ever
CA Chaco For Ever3-0Defensores de Belgrano
CA Chaco For Ever1-0Defensores de Belgrano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Chaco For Ever 1534 · Defensores de Belgrano 1494

	CA Chaco For Ever	Draw	Defensores de Belgrano
Our model	39%	37%	25%
Market	40%	33%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.68 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Chaco For Ever (rating 1534 vs 1494).
H2H favours CA Chaco For Ever: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Chaco For Ever	Defensores de Belgrano
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.80

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:09 +6’	2.30	2.80	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Chaco For Ever 3–3–0 Defensores de Belgrano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Defensores de Belgrano	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Chaco For Ever
13/09/25 Argentina Nacional B	Defensores de Belgrano	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Chaco For Ever
13/05/25 Argentina Nacional B	CA Chaco For Ever	1-0 HT 0-0	Defensores de Belgrano
11/08/24 Argentina Nacional B	Defensores de Belgrano	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Chaco For Ever
26/03/24 Argentina Nacional B	CA Chaco For Ever	3-0 HT 2-0	Defensores de Belgrano
07/08/22 Argentina Nacional B	CA Chaco For Ever	1-0 HT 0-0	Defensores de Belgrano

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	30	17	7	6	35	25	58
2	Deportivo Moron	30	16	7	7	48	29	55
3	Godoy Cruz	30	15	7	8	38	26	52
4	Deportivo Madryn	31	13	11	7	44	28	50
5	Colon	31	13	10	8	38	25	49
6	Almirante Brown	31	12	10	9	23	18	46
7	CA Estudiantes Caseros	31	12	9	10	29	26	45
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	31	10	12	9	26	28	42
9	Los Andes	30	8	13	9	22	20	37
10	CA Chaco For Ever	31	9	9	13	28	31	36
11	Defensores de Belgrano	30	8	12	10	23	26	36
12	Racing de Cordoba	30	9	8	13	26	36	35
13	All Boys	31	6	15	10	17	26	33
14	Central Norte	31	6	14	11	19	28	32
15	Club Atletico Mitre	30	6	14	10	27	37	32
16	CA San Miguel	31	6	13	12	25	36	31
17	CA San Telmo	30	7	10	13	23	34	31
18	Acassuso	31	7	8	16	22	34	29

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Chaco For Ever	Defensores de Belgrano
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-2 L	0-1 L
Almirante Brown	1-0 W	0-2 L
Club Atletico Mitre	0-0 D	1-2 L
CA Estudiantes Caseros	1-0 W	1-1 D
Los Andes	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA Chaco For Ever (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Chaco For Ever

WLLWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
20/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
13/09	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
30/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
26/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	3-0	4	3	W
22/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
16/08	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
09/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-2	1	6	L
02/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W

Defensores de Belgrano

DLDLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
20/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	2	9	W
09/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	8	0	D
04/09	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-0	9	3	W
29/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
22/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
15/08	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	8	7	L
01/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Chaco For Ever vs Defensores de Belgrano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Chaco For Ever win (40%). Probabilities: CA Chaco For Ever 40%, draw 35%, Defensores de Belgrano 26%.

How many goals are expected in CA Chaco For Ever vs Defensores de Belgrano?

The model expects 1.68 goals (CA Chaco For Ever 0.96 · Defensores de Belgrano 0.71), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Chaco For Ever vs Defensores de Belgrano?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.