Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: Atletico Rafaela vs CA Atlanta
Team pages: Atletico Rafaela · CA Atlanta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Atletico Rafaela0.95
CA Atlanta0.95
1X2
Atletico Rafaela
Draw
CA Atlanta
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Rafaela
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CA Atlanta
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Rafaela
2–2–2
CA Atlanta
(6 last)
- CA Atlanta2-0Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela2-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta2-0Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela1-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta0-0Atletico Rafaela
- CA Atlanta0-0Atletico Rafaela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Rafaela 1501 · CA Atlanta 1522
| Atletico Rafaela | Draw | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Rafaela | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Rafaela 2–2–2 CA Atlanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 06/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 26/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 21/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 23/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 57 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 38 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 53 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 48 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | 44 |
| 9 | CA Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atletico Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 38 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 23 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Rafaela | CA Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| Agropecuario | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tristan Suarez | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Guemes | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| San Martin SJ | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Rafaela vs CA Atlanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Atletico Rafaela 33%, draw 34%, CA Atlanta 33%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Rafaela vs CA Atlanta?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Atletico Rafaela 0.95 · CA Atlanta 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Rafaela vs CA Atlanta?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.