Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: San Martin SJ vs Almagro
Team pages: San Martin SJ · Almagro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
San Martin SJ1.65
Almagro0.69
1X2
San Martin SJ
Draw
Almagro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin SJ
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Almagro
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin SJ
4–1–1
Almagro
(6 last)
- Almagro1-2San Martin SJ
- Almagro0-3San Martin SJ
- San Martin SJ3-0Almagro
- Almagro1-0San Martin SJ
- San Martin SJ1-1Almagro
- Almagro0-1San Martin SJ
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin SJ 1524 · Almagro 1435
| San Martin SJ | Draw | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 59% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin SJ (rating 1524 vs 1435).
- H2H favours San Martin SJ: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin SJ | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin SJ 4–1–1 Almagro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-2 HT 0-0 | San Martin SJ |
| 20/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-3 HT 0-2 | San Martin SJ |
| 30/04/23 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin SJ | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 14/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin SJ |
| 17/09/21 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin SJ | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 09/05/21 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin SJ |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 54 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 49 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin SJ | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 45 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 43 |
| 9 | Atletico Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 38 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin SJ | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| CA Colegiales | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Quilmes | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Ferrocarril Midland | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin SJ (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin SJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin SJ vs Almagro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin SJ win (59%). Probabilities: San Martin SJ 59%, draw 26%, Almagro 14%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin SJ vs Almagro?
The model expects 2.34 goals (San Martin SJ 1.65 · Almagro 0.69), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin SJ vs Almagro?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.