Football · Panama Liga Prom · 17/09, 01:00

Prediction: Potros Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Team pages: Potros Del Este · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Potros Del Este1.47

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.05

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Potros Del Este Draw Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Potros Del Este 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Potros Del Este 0–2–0 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (2 last)

Potros Del Este1-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Potros Del Este1-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Potros Del Este 1471 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1503

	Potros Del Este	Draw	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model	46%	29%	26%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Potros Del Este	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:42 +1’	1.90	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Potros Del Este 0–2–0 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	1-1 HT 1-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
23/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	1-1 HT 1-1	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	8	4	3	1	13	6	15
1	Tauro FC Reserves	8	4	3	1	13	6	15
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	8	4	0	4	19	16	12
4	Potros Del Este	8	3	1	4	7	8	10
5	Alianza FC Reserves	8	2	2	4	7	13	8
6	San Martin FC	8	1	1	6	12	17	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Potros Del Este	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-1 L	1-0 W
Panama City FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	1-1 D	1-1 D
Chorrillo	0-1 L	1-0 W
Alianza FC Reserves	1-2 L	0-1 L
San Martin FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Potros Del Este

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
15/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
06/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
26/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	2	10	D

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
14/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
07/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-4	3-5	9	5	L
31/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
30/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
25/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-3	1-4	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Potros Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Potros Del Este win (47%). Probabilities: Potros Del Este 47%, draw 27%, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 26%.

How many goals are expected in Potros Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Potros Del Este 1.47 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.05), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Potros Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.