Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich

Team pages: Burgess Hill Town · Dulwich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Burgess Hill Town1.56

Dulwich1.51

1X2

38% 25% 36%

Burgess Hill Town Draw Dulwich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Burgess Hill Town 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDDWWD

Dulwich 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWWLWL

Head-to-head

Burgess Hill Town 0–3–3 Dulwich (6 last)

Dulwich2-0Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town1-1Dulwich
Burgess Hill Town1-1Dulwich
Dulwich3-2Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town0-3Dulwich
Dulwich2-2Burgess Hill Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgess Hill Town 1528 · Dulwich 1529

	Burgess Hill Town	Draw	Dulwich
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dulwich: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Burgess Hill Town	Dulwich
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4	2.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 1	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +72’	2.30	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgess Hill Town 0–3–3 Dulwich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	2-0	Burgess Hill Town
15/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Dulwich
07/04/18 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	1-1	Dulwich
21/10/17 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	3-2 HT 1-0	Burgess Hill Town
15/04/17 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	0-3	Dulwich
10/09/16 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	2-2	Burgess Hill Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	10	8	0	2	28	12	24
2	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
3	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
4	Lewes	11	7	1	3	17	12	22
5	Carshalton Ath	12	7	0	5	18	20	21
6	Ramsgate	11	6	1	4	27	15	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
9	Dulwich	9	5	1	3	18	12	16
10	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
11	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
12	Burgess Hill Town	9	3	5	1	16	11	14
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
15	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
16	Wingate & Finchley	9	3	2	4	14	20	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
18	AFC Whyteleafe	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	10	2	2	6	19	29	8
21	Whitehawk	11	1	2	8	11	26	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Burgess Hill Town	Dulwich
Aveley	1-1 D	2-0 W
Maldon Tiptree FC	4-1 W	6-0 W
Cheshunt	1-1 D	2-0 W
Leatherhead	2-2 D	3-2 W
Brentwood Town	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dulwich (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Burgess Hill Town

LWDDWDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	Winslow Utd England Isthmian Premier Division	–	6-2	–	–	W
12/09	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
08/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Dulwich

WLWLDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/09	Hastings Utd England FA Trophy	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
22/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgess Hill Town win (38%). Probabilities: Burgess Hill Town 38%, draw 25%, Dulwich 36%.

How many goals are expected in Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Burgess Hill Town 1.56 · Dulwich 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.