Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: AC Milan U23 vs ASD Brusaporto

Team pages: AC Milan U23 · ASD Brusaporto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
AC Milan U231.55
ASD Brusaporto1.17
1X2
45% 28% 27%
AC Milan U23 Draw ASD Brusaporto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Milan U23 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDLWLWWW
ASD Brusaporto 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWWLLW
Head-to-head
AC Milan U23 1–1–0 ASD Brusaporto (2 last)
  • ASD Brusaporto0-4AC Milan U23
  • AC Milan U231-1ASD Brusaporto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Milan U23 1525 · ASD Brusaporto 1481
AC Milan U23DrawASD Brusaporto
Our model45%28%27%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Milan U23 (rating 1525 vs 1481).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Milan U23ASD Brusaporto
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.11.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/63/25%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.50.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Milan U23 110 ASD Brusaporto

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Italy Serie D
ASD Brusaporto0-4AC Milan U23
30/11/25
Italy Serie D
AC Milan U231-1
HT 1-0
ASD Brusaporto

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC Milan U23ASD Brusaporto
ASD Caldiero Terme 4-3 W 2-1 W
Oltrepò 1-0 W 1-2 L
US Folgore Caratese 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Milan U23

DWDDLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 4-3 33 W
03/05 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
5-0 10-1 122 W
26/04 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 63 L
12/04 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
4-0 W
08/04 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L
02/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 73 D
22/03 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
15/03 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 52 W
01/03 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 66 D

ASD Brusaporto

LLLWLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 06 W
06/09 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 74 L
03/05 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
26/04 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 52 W
19/04 US Breno
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
12/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-4 L
02/04 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 45 W
29/03 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 12 L
22/03 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 45 L
15/03 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 66 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Milan U23 vs ASD Brusaporto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Milan U23 win (45%). Probabilities: AC Milan U23 45%, draw 28%, ASD Brusaporto 27%.

How many goals are expected in AC Milan U23 vs ASD Brusaporto?

The model expects 2.72 goals (AC Milan U23 1.55 · ASD Brusaporto 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Milan U23 vs ASD Brusaporto?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.