Prediction: Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
Team pages: Deportivo Cuenca · Mushuc Runa
- Deportivo Cuenca0-0Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa4-1Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca1-0Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa3-1Deportivo Cuenca
- Mushuc Runa1-1Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca5-0Mushuc Runa
| Deportivo Cuenca | Draw | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 33% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mushuc Runa (rating 1445 vs 1519).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cuenca | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cuenca 2–2–2 Mushuc Runa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 25/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 28/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 01/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 19/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 27/04/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Mushuc Runa |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 38 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | 36 |
| 3 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | 33 |
| 4 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | 32 |
| 5 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | 28 |
| 6 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cuenca | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| LDU Quito | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Atletico Libertad | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Guayaquil City | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Tecnico Universitario | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Manta FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Emelec | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cuenca (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 07/09 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Mushuc Runa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/09 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/09 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/08 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cuenca win (38%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cuenca 38%, draw 31%, Mushuc Runa 30%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Deportivo Cuenca 1.11 · Mushuc Runa 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.