Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 21/09, 21:00
Prediction: Manta FC vs Orense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Manta FC1.24
Orense1.19
1X2
Manta FC
Draw
Orense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Manta FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Orense
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Manta FC
1–4–1
Orense
(6 last)
- Manta FC0-0Orense
- Orense1-1Manta FC
- Manta FC0-0Orense
- Orense2-1Manta FC
- Manta FC0-0Orense
- Orense0-1Manta FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manta FC 1447 · Orense 1463
| Manta FC | Draw | Orense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 31% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Manta FC | Orense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.2 | 1.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manta FC 1–4–1 Orense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orense |
| 10/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Manta FC |
| 24/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orense |
| 23/02/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Manta FC |
| 29/08/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orense |
| 04/04/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Manta FC |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 38 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | 36 |
| 3 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | 33 |
| 4 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | 32 |
| 5 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | 28 |
| 6 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manta FC | Orense |
|---|---|---|
| SD Aucas | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Macara | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Barcelona Guayaquil | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Leones FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Orense (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/09 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 02/09 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Orense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 23/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manta FC vs Orense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Manta FC win (36%). Probabilities: Manta FC 36%, draw 31%, Orense 33%.
How many goals are expected in Manta FC vs Orense?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Manta FC 1.24 · Orense 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Manta FC vs Orense?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.