Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 09/11, 19:00

Prediction: Mushuc Runa vs Delfin SC

Team pages: Mushuc Runa · Delfin SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Mushuc Runa1.19

Delfin SC1.17

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Mushuc Runa Draw Delfin SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mushuc Runa 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLDLDLL

Delfin SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Mushuc Runa 2–4 Delfin SC (6 last)

Delfin SC3-2Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa1-0Delfin SC
Delfin SC1-0Mushuc Runa
Delfin SC3-1Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa2-0Delfin SC
Delfin SC4-2Mushuc Runa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Delfin SC (rating 1445 vs 1497).
H2H favours Delfin SC: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mushuc Runa	Delfin SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.8	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.79

Under 2.252.01

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.68▼	Pinn 1.68
X	3.72 → 3.85▲	Pinn 3.85
2	4.47 → 4.74▲	Pinn 4.74

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:51 +25’	1.75	3.72	4.47
23:28 +14’	1.71▼	3.78▲	4.60▲
01:16 +8’	1.68▼	3.85▲	4.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mushuc Runa 2–0–4 Delfin SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/10/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	3-2 HT 2-2	Mushuc Runa
28/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Mushuc Runa	1-0 HT 0-0	Delfin SC
03/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Mushuc Runa
16/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	3-1 HT 1-0	Mushuc Runa
18/02/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Mushuc Runa	2-0 HT 1-0	Delfin SC
08/11/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	4-2 HT 1-0	Mushuc Runa

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cuenca	35	12	8	15	31	42	44
2	Mushuc Runa	35	9	13	13	41	49	40
3	Orense	35	10	9	16	43	51	39
4	Delfin SC	35	10	8	17	30	41	38
5	Tecnico Universitario	35	11	4	20	34	47	37
6	Manta FC	35	8	6	21	25	51	30

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mushuc Runa	Delfin SC
Manta FC	2-3 L	4-2 W
Tecnico Universitario	0-3 L	1-1 D
Orense	1-1 D	0-4 L
Deportivo Cuenca	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Delfin SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mushuc Runa

DWDDLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	2-3	9	5	L
26/10	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
19/10	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
09/10	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	2-3	7	4	L
20/09	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
12/09	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-3	4	7	L
08/09	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
02/09	LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
28/08	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
22/08	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	4	7	D

Delfin SC

LLWLDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	3-1	4	10	W
24/10	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-4	5	5	L
18/10	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
09/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	3-2	2	4	W
20/09	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
14/09	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	8	0	L
01/09	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	7	10	W
28/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
23/08	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mushuc Runa vs Delfin SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mushuc Runa win (35%). Probabilities: Mushuc Runa 35%, draw 31%, Delfin SC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Mushuc Runa vs Delfin SC?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Mushuc Runa 1.19 · Delfin SC 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mushuc Runa vs Delfin SC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.