Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 07/11, 17:30

Prediction: Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense

Team pages: Deportivo Cuenca · Orense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Deportivo Cuenca1.46

Orense0.87

1X2

50% 28% 22%

Deportivo Cuenca Draw Orense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Cuenca 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDDDWWL

Orense 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLDDWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Cuenca 0–2–4 Orense (6 last)

Orense0-0Deportivo Cuenca
Orense2-0Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca1-3Orense
Deportivo Cuenca1-1Orense
Orense1-0Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca1-2Orense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Cuenca 1477 · Orense 1489

	Deportivo Cuenca	Draw	Orense
Our model	50%	29%	21%
Market	50%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orense: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Cuenca	Orense
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 2.30 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:59 +48’	1.83	3.30	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +21’	2.21	3.17	3.42
14:24 +7’	2.39▲	3.12▼	3.12▼
15:32 +1’	2.35▼	3.13▲	3.18▲
16:06 +13’	2.30▼	3.13	3.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cuenca 0–2–4 Orense

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Cuenca
16/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Cuenca
22/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-3 HT 0-1	Orense
31/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-1 HT 0-0	Orense
10/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Orense	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Cuenca
10/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-2 HT 1-1	Orense

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cuenca	35	12	8	15	31	42	44
2	Mushuc Runa	34	9	13	12	39	46	40
3	Orense	35	10	9	16	43	51	39
4	Delfin SC	35	10	8	17	30	41	38
5	Tecnico Universitario	35	11	4	20	34	47	37
6	Manta FC	34	7	6	21	22	49	27

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Cuenca	Orense
Delfin SC	1-3 L	4-0 W
Manta FC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Tecnico Universitario	2-1 W	1-1 D
Mushuc Runa	1-1 D	1-1 D
Guayaquil City	1-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cuenca (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Cuenca

DLWLDDDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-3	4	10	L
24/10	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
16/10	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
11/10	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
20/09	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
13/09	LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
07/09	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
02/09	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
22/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Orense

LLLWLLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
24/10	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-0	4-0	3	5	W
19/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
21/09	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
15/09	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
08/09	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	4-3	6	4	W
03/09	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
30/08	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
23/08	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cuenca win (50%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cuenca 50%, draw 28%, Orense 22%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Deportivo Cuenca 1.46 · Orense 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.