Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 03/11, 21:30
Prediction: Mushuc Runa vs Manta FC
Team pages: Mushuc Runa · Manta FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Mushuc Runa1.71
Manta FC0.75
1X2
Mushuc Runa
Draw
Manta FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mushuc Runa
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Manta FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mushuc Runa
3–1–2
Manta FC
(6 last)
- Manta FC1-2Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa1-0Manta FC
- Manta FC3-0Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa1-1Manta FC
- Mushuc Runa2-0Manta FC
- Manta FC2-1Mushuc Runa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mushuc Runa 1479 · Manta FC 1446
| Mushuc Runa | Draw | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mushuc Runa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mushuc Runa | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mushuc Runa 3–1–2 Manta FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Mushuc Runa |
| 11/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Manta FC |
| 08/11/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 25/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Manta FC |
| 30/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Manta FC |
| 10/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Mushuc Runa |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 44 |
| 2 | Mushuc Runa | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 46 | 40 |
| 3 | Orense | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | 38 |
| 4 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 33 | 46 | 36 |
| 5 | Delfin SC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 40 | 35 |
| 6 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 49 | 27 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mushuc Runa | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Orense | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Delfin SC | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Leones FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Barcelona Guayaquil | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mushuc Runa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/10 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/09 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/09 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Manta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 21/09 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/09 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 02/09 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mushuc Runa vs Manta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mushuc Runa win (59%). Probabilities: Mushuc Runa 59%, draw 25%, Manta FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Mushuc Runa vs Manta FC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Mushuc Runa 1.71 · Manta FC 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mushuc Runa vs Manta FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.