Football · USA MLS · 22/10, 01:00

Prediction: FC Cincinnati vs DC United

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · DC United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

FC Cincinnati1.91

DC United1.51

1X2

46% 24% 30%

FC Cincinnati Draw DC United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Cincinnati 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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DC United 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Cincinnati 3–1–2 DC United (6 last)

FC Cincinnati1-2DC United
DC United0-1FC Cincinnati
DC United2-3FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati0-0DC United
DC United3-0FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati2-1DC United

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Cincinnati: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Cincinnati	DC United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.9	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.94

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.64▲	Pinn 1.64
X	4.49 → 4.56▲	Pinn 4.56
2	4.37 → 4.43▲	Pinn 4.43

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:16 +49’	1.63	4.49	4.37
00:12 +54’	1.64▲	4.56▲	4.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cincinnati 3–1–2 DC United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/25 USA MLS	FC Cincinnati	1-2 HT 1-2	DC United
13/04/25 USA MLS	DC United	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Cincinnati
04/07/24 USA MLS	DC United	2-3 HT 1-2	FC Cincinnati
10/03/24 USA MLS	FC Cincinnati	0-0 HT 0-0	DC United
25/06/23 USA MLS	DC United	3-0 HT 3-0	FC Cincinnati
07/05/23 USA MLS	FC Cincinnati	2-1 HT 0-0	DC United

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	30	20	7	3	64	23	67
2	Inter Miami CF	30	15	10	5	73	51	55
3	New England Revolution	30	16	4	10	49	41	52
4	Chicago Fire	30	14	6	10	52	44	48
5	Charlotte FC	30	13	8	9	53	45	47
6	Philadelphia Union	30	13	7	10	61	48	46
7	Orlando City SC	30	12	5	13	58	70	41
8	New York Red Bulls	30	10	6	14	39	56	36
9	FC Cincinnati	28	9	9	10	60	68	36
10	Toronto FC	30	8	12	10	46	55	36
11	New York City FC	30	8	10	12	43	41	34
12	DC United	29	7	12	10	37	51	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	9	5	15	44	47	32
14	Atlanta United	30	8	6	16	37	51	30
15	CF Montreal	30	6	7	17	36	60	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Cincinnati	DC United
Columbus Crew	0-2 L	2-1 W
New England Revolution	2-3 L	0-3 L
Atlanta United	3-1 W	0-0 D
Charlotte FC	3-3 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Cincinnati (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Cincinnati

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
15/10	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-2	2-3	12	4	L
11/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
27/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
20/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	2-2	7	0	D
13/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-2	3-3	12	3	D
10/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
30/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
23/08	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
20/08	New York City FC USA MLS	1-1	2-1	2	6	W

DC United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-2	1-4	8	4	L
15/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
11/10	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-2	0-4	2	0	L
27/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-2	3-3	10	1	D
20/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
13/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
10/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
30/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
23/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-0	1-3	9	5	L
20/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-2	0-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Cincinnati vs DC United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Cincinnati win (46%). Probabilities: FC Cincinnati 46%, draw 24%, DC United 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Cincinnati vs DC United?

The model expects 3.42 goals (FC Cincinnati 1.91 · DC United 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs DC United?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.