Football · Chile Primera B · 03/10, 20:00
Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt
Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Deportes Copiapo1.53
Puerto Montt1.08
1X2
Deportes Copiapo
Draw
Puerto Montt
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Copiapo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Copiapo
3–1–2
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
- Puerto Montt2-0Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo4-0Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt3-0Deportes Copiapo
- Puerto Montt0-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo5-0Puerto Montt
- Deportes Copiapo2-2Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1481 · Puerto Montt 1466
| Deportes Copiapo | Draw | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Copiapo | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 3–1–2 Puerto Montt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 20/11/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 16/11/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 26/10/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 21/05/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 01/12/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 34 |
| 10 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Copiapo | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Magallanes | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Curico Unido | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (47%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 47%, draw 27%, Puerto Montt 26%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.53 · Puerto Montt 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.