Football · Chile Primera B · 04/10, 22:30
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola
Team pages: San Luis Quillota · Union Espanola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
San Luis Quillota1.65
Union Espanola0.9
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
Union Espanola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Union Espanola
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
1–5
Union Espanola
(6 last)
- Union Espanola2-0San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-2Union Espanola
- Union Espanola4-0San Luis Quillota
- Union Espanola1-0San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota3-2Union Espanola
- Union Espanola1-0San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1554 · Union Espanola 1486
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1554 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 2.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 1–0–5 Union Espanola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Chile Primera B | Union Espanola | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 18/08/18 Chile Liga de Primera | San Luis Quillota | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola |
| 05/05/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 4-0 HT 2-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 19/08/17 Chile Apertura | Union Espanola | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 14/05/17 Chile Clausura | San Luis Quillota | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola |
| 08/12/16 Chile Apertura | Union Espanola | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 34 |
| 10 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis Quillota | Union Espanola |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Cobreloa | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Curico Unido | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 09/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (55%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 55%, draw 25%, Union Espanola 20%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola?
The model expects 2.55 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.65 · Union Espanola 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Union Espanola?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.