Football · Argentina Nacional B · 27/09, 21:00

Prediction: Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin de Tucuman

Team pages: Gimnasia Jujuy · San Martin de Tucuman

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Gimnasia Jujuy1.56

San Martin de Tucuman1.09

1X2

46% 30% 24%

Gimnasia Jujuy Draw San Martin de Tucuman

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gimnasia Jujuy 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWDDWW

San Martin de Tucuman 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDWDLWL

Head-to-head

Gimnasia Jujuy 1–2–3 San Martin de Tucuman (6 last)

San Martin de Tucuman2-0Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy2-0San Martin de Tucuman
San Martin de Tucuman1-0Gimnasia Jujuy
San Martin de Tucuman0-0Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy1-1San Martin de Tucuman
San Martin de Tucuman2-0Gimnasia Jujuy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia Jujuy 1502 · San Martin de Tucuman 1490

	Gimnasia Jujuy	Draw	San Martin de Tucuman
Our model	47%	28%	26%
Market	45%	32%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Martin de Tucuman: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimnasia Jujuy	San Martin de Tucuman
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.9	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.90

23.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.97

Under 2.251.79

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.35 ★
X	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.97
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +1’	2.05	2.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +2’	2.35	2.97	3.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Jujuy 1–2–3 San Martin de Tucuman

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin de Tucuman	2-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
23/06/24 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-0 HT 1-0	San Martin de Tucuman
04/02/24 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin de Tucuman	1-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
18/01/23 Club Friendly List	San Martin de Tucuman	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
01/10/22 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1 HT 0-1	San Martin de Tucuman
10/11/19 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin de Tucuman	2-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Atletico Temperley	30	14	11	5	36	24	53
2	Gimnasia Jujuy	30	15	8	7	45	36	53
3	Tristan Suarez	28	13	11	4	28	14	50
4	CA Atlanta	29	15	3	11	34	28	48
5	Ferrocarril Midland	30	13	8	9	34	25	47
6	San Martin SJ	30	12	9	9	33	27	45
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	30	12	9	9	31	27	45
8	Atletico Rafaela	30	11	9	10	25	26	42
9	Deportivo Maipu	30	11	8	11	37	31	41
10	CA Colegiales	30	11	7	12	29	30	40
11	San Martin de Tucuman	30	9	12	9	32	30	39
12	Agropecuario	30	9	9	12	26	34	36
13	Quilmes	30	9	8	13	28	27	35
14	Almagro	30	9	8	13	26	36	35
15	Nueva Chicago	29	8	8	13	21	28	32
16	Patronato Parana	29	5	15	9	23	30	30
17	Chacarita Juniors	30	8	6	16	22	31	30
18	CA Guemes	29	5	8	16	22	48	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimnasia Jujuy	San Martin de Tucuman
Atletico Rafaela	2-1 W	2-4 L
Agropecuario	1-1 D	3-0 W
Tristan Suarez	0-2 L	0-2 L
CA Guemes	2-1 W	1-1 D
Chacarita Juniors	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia Jujuy

DWLLLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
06/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
01/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	10	0	D
22/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	1-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
10/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-2	11	1	L
06/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
01/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
26/07	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
12/07	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	11	3	D

San Martin de Tucuman

DLLDDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	2-2	2-4	4	6	L
13/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
05/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
30/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
23/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
09/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
01/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	8	9	L
26/07	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
17/07	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin de Tucuman?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Jujuy win (46%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 46%, draw 30%, San Martin de Tucuman 24%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin de Tucuman?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Gimnasia Jujuy 1.56 · San Martin de Tucuman 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin de Tucuman?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.