Football · Chile Primera B · 04/10, 20:00
Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique
Team pages: Union San Felipe · Deportes Iquique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Union San Felipe1.04
Deportes Iquique1.26
1X2
Union San Felipe
Draw
Deportes Iquique
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Deportes Iquique
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe
2–1–3
Deportes Iquique
(6 last)
- Deportes Iquique5-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-1Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique1-2Union San Felipe
- Deportes Iquique3-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe2-0Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique1-0Union San Felipe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1410 · Deportes Iquique 1510
| Union San Felipe | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Iquique (rating 1410 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union San Felipe | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 2–1–3 Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 13/08/23 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 26/03/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 22/10/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 21/05/22 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 20/10/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 34 |
| 10 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union San Felipe | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Antofagasta | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 05/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Iquique win (41%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 30%, draw 29%, Deportes Iquique 41%.
How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Union San Felipe 1.04 · Deportes Iquique 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.