Football · Chile Primera B · 04/10, 17:30
Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca
Team pages: CD Antofagasta · Rangers de Talca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
CD Antofagasta1.88
Rangers de Talca0.89
1X2
CD Antofagasta
Draw
Rangers de Talca
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Rangers de Talca
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta
1–3–2
Rangers de Talca
(6 last)
- Rangers de Talca0-2CD Antofagasta
- Rangers de Talca2-1CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta1-1Rangers de Talca
- CD Antofagasta1-1Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca4-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta2-2Rangers de Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1541 · Rangers de Talca 1490
| CD Antofagasta | Draw | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1541 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Rangers de Talca: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Antofagasta | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 1–3–2 Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CD Antofagasta |
| 14/10/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 01/06/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 21/07/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 03/03/24 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 4-0 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 30/07/23 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 34 |
| 10 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Antofagasta | Rangers de Talca |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Union Espanola | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Puerto Montt | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Antofagasta (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 13/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (60%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 60%, draw 24%, Rangers de Talca 16%.
How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca?
The model expects 2.77 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.88 · Rangers de Talca 0.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Rangers de Talca?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.