Football · Jamaica Premier League · 20/09, 22:30
Prediction: Mount Pleasant FA vs Racing United FC
Team pages: Racing United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Mount Pleasant FA1.7
Racing United FC0.87
1X2
Mount Pleasant FA
Draw
Racing United FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Mount Pleasant FA
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Racing United FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mount Pleasant FA
3–2–1
Racing United FC
(6 last)
- Mount Pleasant FA0-0Racing United FC
- Mount Pleasant FA1-1Racing United FC
- Racing United FC1-0Mount Pleasant FA
- Mount Pleasant FA2-1Racing United FC
- Racing United FC2-3Mount Pleasant FA
- Mount Pleasant FA4-0Racing United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mount Pleasant FA 1586 · Racing United FC 1483
| Mount Pleasant FA | Draw | Racing United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mount Pleasant FA (rating 1586 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Mount Pleasant FA: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mount Pleasant FA | Racing United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mount Pleasant FA 3–2–1 Racing United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 11/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 17/12/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mount Pleasant FA |
| 10/04/25 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Racing United FC |
| 13/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Mount Pleasant FA |
| 08/10/24 Jamaica Premier League | Mount Pleasant FA | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Racing United FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tru-Juice FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tivoli Gardens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Montego Bay Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Molynes United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Racing United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Waterhouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Treasure Beach FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Mount Pleasant FA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mount Pleasant FA | Racing United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Montego Bay Utd | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Portmore United | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Dunbeholden FC | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Waterhouse | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mount Pleasant FA (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mount Pleasant FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 16/04 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Racing United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mount Pleasant FA vs Racing United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mount Pleasant FA win (56%). Probabilities: Mount Pleasant FA 56%, draw 26%, Racing United FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Mount Pleasant FA vs Racing United FC?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Mount Pleasant FA 1.7 · Racing United FC 0.87), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mount Pleasant FA vs Racing United FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.