Football · Jamaica Premier League · 27/09, 22:30
Prediction: Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens
Team pages: Cavalier · Arnett Gardens
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Cavalier1.42
Arnett Gardens1.3
1X2
Cavalier
Draw
Arnett Gardens
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cavalier
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Arnett Gardens
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cavalier
2–2–2
Arnett Gardens
(6 last)
- Arnett Gardens2-1Cavalier
- Cavalier0-3Arnett Gardens
- Arnett Gardens2-3Cavalier
- Arnett Gardens0-1Cavalier
- Cavalier1-1Arnett Gardens
- Arnett Gardens2-2Cavalier
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavalier 1524 · Arnett Gardens 1553
| Cavalier | Draw | Arnett Gardens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavalier | Arnett Gardens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 2.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalier 2–2–2 Arnett Gardens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cavalier |
| 06/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Cavalier | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Arnett Gardens |
| 01/09/25 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Cavalier |
| 19/05/25 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalier |
| 16/05/25 Jamaica Premier League | Cavalier | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Arnett Gardens |
| 01/04/25 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Cavalier |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing United FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Tivoli Gardens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Arnett Gardens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Molynes United FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Treasure Beach FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Portmore United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dunbeholden FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Mount Pleasant FA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavalier | Arnett Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Dunbeholden FC | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Portmore United | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Montego Bay Utd | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Waterhouse | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Racing United FC | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavalier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Arnett Gardens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/09 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
5-0 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
5-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavalier win (39%). Probabilities: Cavalier 39%, draw 27%, Arnett Gardens 34%.
How many goals are expected in Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Cavalier 1.42 · Arnett Gardens 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.