Football · Jamaica Premier League · 28/09, 00:05
Prediction: Racing United FC vs Montego Bay Utd
Team pages: Racing United FC · Montego Bay Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Racing United FC1.36
Montego Bay Utd1.49
1X2
Racing United FC
Draw
Montego Bay Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing United FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Montego Bay Utd
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing United FC
0–2–4
Montego Bay Utd
(6 last)
- Montego Bay Utd4-1Racing United FC
- Racing United FC1-1Montego Bay Utd
- Montego Bay Utd3-1Racing United FC
- Racing United FC0-3Montego Bay Utd
- Montego Bay Utd0-0Racing United FC
- Racing United FC0-4Montego Bay Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing United FC 1495 · Montego Bay Utd 1496
| Racing United FC | Draw | Montego Bay Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Montego Bay Utd: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing United FC | Montego Bay Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing United FC 0–2–4 Montego Bay Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Racing United FC |
| 08/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 20/10/25 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Racing United FC |
| 15/04/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 21/02/25 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 17/11/24 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Montego Bay Utd |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing United FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Tivoli Gardens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Arnett Gardens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Molynes United FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Treasure Beach FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Portmore United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dunbeholden FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Mount Pleasant FA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing United FC | Montego Bay Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant FA | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Cavalier | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Montego Bay Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 18 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing United FC vs Montego Bay Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Montego Bay Utd win (39%). Probabilities: Racing United FC 33%, draw 27%, Montego Bay Utd 39%.
How many goals are expected in Racing United FC vs Montego Bay Utd?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Racing United FC 1.36 · Montego Bay Utd 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing United FC vs Montego Bay Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.