Football · Jamaica Premier League · 06/10, 03:00

Prediction: Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United

Team pages: Arnett Gardens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Arnett Gardens1.28

Portmore United1.4

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Arnett Gardens Draw Portmore United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Arnett Gardens 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWLWL

Portmore United 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWLWDW

Head-to-head

Arnett Gardens 2–1–3 Portmore United (6 last)

Portmore United1-2Arnett Gardens
Arnett Gardens0-2Portmore United
Portmore United1-0Arnett Gardens
Portmore United2-1Arnett Gardens
Arnett Gardens0-0Portmore United
Portmore United0-1Arnett Gardens

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arnett Gardens 1511 · Portmore United 1564

	Arnett Gardens	Draw	Portmore United
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portmore United (rating 1511 vs 1564).
H2H favours Portmore United: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arnett Gardens	Portmore United
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	3.1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +19’	2.70	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arnett Gardens 2–1–3 Portmore United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	1-2 HT 0-2	Arnett Gardens
17/02/26 Jamaica Premier League	Arnett Gardens	0-2 HT 0-0	Portmore United
07/12/25 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	1-0 HT 1-0	Arnett Gardens
13/04/25 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	2-1 HT 1-0	Arnett Gardens
21/02/25 Jamaica Premier League	Arnett Gardens	0-0 HT 0-0	Portmore United
17/11/24 Jamaica Premier League	Portmore United	0-1 HT 0-0	Arnett Gardens

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tru-Juice FC	3	2	1	0	5	0	7
2	Montego Bay Utd	3	2	1	0	3	0	7
3	Waterhouse	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
4	Cavalier	2	2	0	0	5	3	6
5	Racing United FC	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
6	Tivoli Gardens	3	1	2	0	5	2	5
7	Chapelton Maroons FC	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
8	Portmore United	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
9	Arnett Gardens	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
10	Molynes United FC	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
11	Mount Pleasant FA	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
12	Treasure Beach FC	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
13	Dunbeholden FC	3	0	0	3	1	7	0
14	Humble Lions	3	0	0	3	1	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arnett Gardens	Portmore United
Cavalier	2-3 L	2-2 D
Racing United FC	2-3 L	2-0 W
Spanish Town Police	6-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Portmore United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arnett Gardens

LWLWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
22/09	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	3-0	3-0	5	3	W
15/09	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
06/05	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	5-0	7-2	–	–	W
03/05	Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League	5-0	6-0	3	0	W
26/04	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
24/04	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
19/04	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
16/04	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
12/04	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Portmore United

WLDWDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League	0-0	4-1	17	5	W
25/05	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-2	12	2	D
21/05	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	2-0	2-1	4	7	W
18/05	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
14/05	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
11/05	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	2-0	3-3	1	7	D
06/05	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/05	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
26/04	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	0-2	1-2	5	9	L
23/04	Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Portmore United win (39%). Probabilities: Arnett Gardens 33%, draw 28%, Portmore United 39%.

How many goals are expected in Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Arnett Gardens 1.28 · Portmore United 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.