Football · Jamaica Premier League · 08/11, 21:00
Prediction: Treasure Beach FC vs Dunbeholden FC
Team pages: Treasure Beach FC · Dunbeholden FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Treasure Beach FC1.24
Dunbeholden FC1.57
1X2
Treasure Beach FC
Draw
Dunbeholden FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Treasure Beach FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Dunbeholden FC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treasure Beach FC
1–2–2
Dunbeholden FC
(5 last)
- Treasure Beach FC1-0Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC4-2Treasure Beach FC
- Treasure Beach FC0-4Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC1-1Treasure Beach FC
- Treasure Beach FC0-0Dunbeholden FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Treasure Beach FC 1442 · Dunbeholden FC 1439
| Treasure Beach FC | Draw | Dunbeholden FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 27% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Dunbeholden FC: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treasure Beach FC | Dunbeholden FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 0.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treasure Beach FC 1–2–2 Dunbeholden FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Treasure Beach FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 22/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Treasure Beach FC |
| 07/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Treasure Beach FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 11/02/24 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Treasure Beach FC |
| 19/11/23 Jamaica Premier League | Treasure Beach FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Tivoli Gardens | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Mount Pleasant FA | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Cavalier | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treasure Beach FC | Dunbeholden FC |
|---|---|---|
| Humble Lions | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Waterhouse | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Tivoli Gardens | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Molynes United FC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Montego Bay Utd | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treasure Beach FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/09 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Dunbeholden FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 26/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treasure Beach FC vs Dunbeholden FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunbeholden FC win (44%). Probabilities: Treasure Beach FC 29%, draw 27%, Dunbeholden FC 44%.
How many goals are expected in Treasure Beach FC vs Dunbeholden FC?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Treasure Beach FC 1.24 · Dunbeholden FC 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Treasure Beach FC vs Dunbeholden FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.