Football · Jamaica Premier League · 08/11, 21:00
Prediction: Montego Bay Utd vs Molynes United FC
Team pages: Montego Bay Utd · Molynes United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Montego Bay Utd2.32
Molynes United FC0.8
1X2
Montego Bay Utd
Draw
Molynes United FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Montego Bay Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Molynes United FC
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montego Bay Utd
4–1–1
Molynes United FC
(6 last)
- Molynes United FC5-2Montego Bay Utd
- Molynes United FC1-1Montego Bay Utd
- Montego Bay Utd3-0Molynes United FC
- Molynes United FC0-2Montego Bay Utd
- Montego Bay Utd5-0Molynes United FC
- Molynes United FC0-2Montego Bay Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montego Bay Utd 1516 · Molynes United FC 1433
| Montego Bay Utd | Draw | Molynes United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montego Bay Utd (rating 1516 vs 1433).
- H2H favours Montego Bay Utd: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montego Bay Utd | Molynes United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montego Bay Utd 4–1–1 Molynes United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Jamaica Cup | Molynes United FC | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 25/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 01/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 12/10/25 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 21/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 20/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Montego Bay Utd |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Tivoli Gardens | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Mount Pleasant FA | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Cavalier | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montego Bay Utd | Molynes United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant FA | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Arnett Gardens | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Cavalier | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Dunbeholden FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Racing United FC | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Tru-Juice FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Chapelton Maroons FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Montego Bay Utd (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montego Bay Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 27/10 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/09 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 18 | 4 | L |
Molynes United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/10 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/10 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montego Bay Utd vs Molynes United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montego Bay Utd win (71%). Probabilities: Montego Bay Utd 71%, draw 18%, Molynes United FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Montego Bay Utd vs Molynes United FC?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Montego Bay Utd 2.32 · Molynes United FC 0.8), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Montego Bay Utd vs Molynes United FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.