Football · Jamaica Premier League · 11/10, 22:00
Prediction: Dunbeholden FC vs Molynes United FC
Team pages: Dunbeholden FC · Molynes United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Dunbeholden FC1.33
Molynes United FC1.41
1X2
Dunbeholden FC
Draw
Molynes United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunbeholden FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Molynes United FC
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunbeholden FC
3–1–2
Molynes United FC
(6 last)
- Dunbeholden FC1-0Molynes United FC
- Dunbeholden FC1-1Molynes United FC
- Molynes United FC0-2Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC0-2Molynes United FC
- Molynes United FC0-1Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC0-2Molynes United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunbeholden FC 1419 · Molynes United FC 1498
| Dunbeholden FC | Draw | Molynes United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molynes United FC (rating 1419 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Dunbeholden FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunbeholden FC | Molynes United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunbeholden FC 3–1–2 Molynes United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 14/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 16/09/25 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 13/04/25 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Molynes United FC |
| 19/02/25 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 18/11/24 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Molynes United FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Montego Bay Utd | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant FA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 11 | Molynes United FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunbeholden FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunbeholden FC | Molynes United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Arnett Gardens | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Treasure Beach FC | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Harbour View FC | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tivoli Gardens | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Racing United FC | 0-0 D | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Molynes United FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunbeholden FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
Molynes United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunbeholden FC vs Molynes United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Molynes United FC win (38%). Probabilities: Dunbeholden FC 34%, draw 28%, Molynes United FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Dunbeholden FC vs Molynes United FC?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Dunbeholden FC 1.33 · Molynes United FC 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunbeholden FC vs Molynes United FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.