Football · Jamaica Premier League · 13/10, 00:05
Prediction: Tivoli Gardens vs Racing United FC
Team pages: Tivoli Gardens · Racing United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Tivoli Gardens1.04
Racing United FC1.2
1X2
Tivoli Gardens
Draw
Racing United FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Tivoli Gardens
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Racing United FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tivoli Gardens
2–3–1
Racing United FC
(6 last)
- Racing United FC0-0Tivoli Gardens
- Tivoli Gardens0-0Racing United FC
- Racing United FC0-0Tivoli Gardens
- Tivoli Gardens1-0Racing United FC
- Racing United FC2-0Tivoli Gardens
- Tivoli Gardens1-0Racing United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tivoli Gardens 1490 · Racing United FC 1523
| Tivoli Gardens | Draw | Racing United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tivoli Gardens: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tivoli Gardens | Racing United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tivoli Gardens 2–3–1 Racing United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tivoli Gardens |
| 22/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Tivoli Gardens | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 28/09/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tivoli Gardens |
| 23/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Tivoli Gardens | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 23/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tivoli Gardens |
| 22/10/24 Jamaica Premier League | Tivoli Gardens | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Montego Bay Utd | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant FA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 11 | Molynes United FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunbeholden FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tivoli Gardens | Racing United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Portmore United | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Cavalier | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Molynes United FC | 0-2 L | 6-0 W |
| Montego Bay Utd | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing United FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tivoli Gardens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/04 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Racing United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tivoli Gardens vs Racing United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing United FC win (39%). Probabilities: Tivoli Gardens 31%, draw 31%, Racing United FC 39%.
How many goals are expected in Tivoli Gardens vs Racing United FC?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Tivoli Gardens 1.04 · Racing United FC 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tivoli Gardens vs Racing United FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.