Football · Jamaica Premier League · 20/09, 22:30
Prediction: Chapelton Maroons FC vs Molynes United FC
Team pages: Chapelton Maroons FC · Molynes United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Chapelton Maroons FC1.37
Molynes United FC1.64
1X2
Chapelton Maroons FC
Draw
Molynes United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chapelton Maroons FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Molynes United FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chapelton Maroons FC
1–4–1
Molynes United FC
(6 last)
- Chapelton Maroons FC2-2Molynes United FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC1-0Molynes United FC
- Molynes United FC0-0Chapelton Maroons FC
- Molynes United FC1-1Chapelton Maroons FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC0-0Molynes United FC
- Molynes United FC4-0Chapelton Maroons FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chapelton Maroons FC 1448 · Molynes United FC 1543
| Chapelton Maroons FC | Draw | Molynes United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molynes United FC (rating 1448 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chapelton Maroons FC | Molynes United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.8 | 2.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 3.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chapelton Maroons FC 1–4–1 Molynes United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 11/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 08/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 16/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 12/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Molynes United FC |
| 06/10/24 Jamaica Premier League | Molynes United FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tru-Juice FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tivoli Gardens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Montego Bay Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Molynes United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Racing United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Waterhouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Treasure Beach FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Mount Pleasant FA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chapelton Maroons FC | Molynes United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Arnett Gardens | 2-7 L | 3-0 W |
| Spanish Town Police | 6-2 W | 9-0 W |
| Portmore United | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Treasure Beach FC | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Cavalier | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Harbour View FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Molynes United FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chapelton Maroons FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-5 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
5-0 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
2-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Molynes United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chapelton Maroons FC vs Molynes United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Molynes United FC win (42%). Probabilities: Chapelton Maroons FC 30%, draw 28%, Molynes United FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Chapelton Maroons FC vs Molynes United FC?
The model expects 3 goals (Chapelton Maroons FC 1.37 · Molynes United FC 1.64), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chapelton Maroons FC vs Molynes United FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.