Football · Chile Primera B · 03/10, 17:30
Prediction: Magallanes vs Curico Unido
Team pages: Magallanes · Curico Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Magallanes1.83
Curico Unido1.02
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
Curico Unido
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Curico Unido
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
2–3–1
Curico Unido
(6 last)
- Curico Unido1-2Magallanes
- Magallanes0-0Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-1Magallanes
- Magallanes0-0Curico Unido
- Magallanes4-0Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-0Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1541 · Curico Unido 1430
| Magallanes | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magallanes (rating 1541 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Magallanes: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 2–3–1 Curico Unido
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Magallanes |
| 02/08/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 18/03/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 24/08/24 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 28/06/24 Chile Cup | Magallanes | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 23/06/24 Chile Cup | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 34 |
| 10 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Union San Felipe | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Union Espanola | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Magallanes (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
Curico Unido
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (55%). Probabilities: Magallanes 55%, draw 25%, Curico Unido 20%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Magallanes 1.83 · Curico Unido 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.