Prediction: Runcorn Linnets vs Atherton Collieries

Team pages: Runcorn Linnets · Atherton Collieries

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Runcorn Linnets1.66
Atherton Collieries1.12
1X2
49% 25% 25%
Runcorn Linnets Draw Atherton Collieries
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Runcorn Linnets 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWDWDLLW
Atherton Collieries 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLWDLW
Head-to-head
Runcorn Linnets 1–0 Atherton Collieries (1 last)
  • Atherton Collieries1-2Runcorn Linnets
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Runcorn Linnets 1510 · Atherton Collieries 1494
Runcorn LinnetsDrawAtherton Collieries
Our model49%27%25%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Runcorn LinnetsAtherton Collieries
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.91.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 03.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Runcorn Linnets 100 Atherton Collieries

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/10/24
England Northern League Division One
Atherton Collieries1-2
HT 0-2
Runcorn Linnets

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRuncorn LinnetsAtherton Collieries
Bootle 0-2 L 1-2 L
Stalybridge 0-1 L 4-0 W
Vauxhall Motors 3-1 W 2-2 D
Nantwich Town 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atherton Collieries (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Runcorn Linnets

WDWWDWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/08 Lower Breck
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 14 W
11/08 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 62 L
28/04 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 64 L
06/04 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 54 D
03/02 Chasetown
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 73 W
24/01 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-2 65 D
10/01 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 65 W
18/11 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 54 W
04/11 Congleton Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 43 D
29/10 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 35 W

Atherton Collieries

WLLDLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-0 31 W
25/08 Padiham
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 61 L
13/03 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-2 73 D
31/01 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 04 W
09/01 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 53 L
13/12 Shifnal Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 35 L
31/10 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 71 D
28/10 Mossley
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-3 66 L
14/10 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-2 23 L
06/10 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 19 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Runcorn Linnets vs Atherton Collieries?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Runcorn Linnets win (49%). Probabilities: Runcorn Linnets 49%, draw 25%, Atherton Collieries 25%.

How many goals are expected in Runcorn Linnets vs Atherton Collieries?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Runcorn Linnets 1.66 · Atherton Collieries 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Runcorn Linnets vs Atherton Collieries?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.