Prediction: Ashington vs Garforth Town
Team pages: Ashington · Garforth Town
- Garforth Town1-2Ashington
| Ashington | Draw | Garforth Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Garforth Town (rating 1438 vs 1480).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ashington | Garforth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashington 1–0–0 Garforth Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/24 England Northern League Division One | Garforth Town | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Ashington |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ashington | Garforth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Hallam | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Bridlington Town | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Silsden | 1-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Pontefract Collieries | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Garforth Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/08 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/03 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/01 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/11 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
Garforth Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Beverley Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/08 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Blyth Spartans England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/02 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/02 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/02 | Lincoln Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/01 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/11 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/10 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashington vs Garforth Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Garforth Town win (42%). Probabilities: Ashington 32%, draw 26%, Garforth Town 42%.
How many goals are expected in Ashington vs Garforth Town?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Ashington 1.37 · Garforth Town 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ashington vs Garforth Town?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.