Football · England Northern League Division One · 15/09, 20:45
Prediction: Heaton Stannington vs Dunston UTS
Team pages: Dunston UTS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Heaton Stannington1.13
Dunston UTS1.23
1X2
Heaton Stannington
Draw
Dunston UTS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Heaton Stannington
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Dunston UTS
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Heaton Stannington
1–1
Dunston UTS
(2 last)
- Heaton Stannington1-0Dunston UTS
- Dunston UTS3-2Heaton Stannington
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heaton Stannington 1500 · Dunston UTS 1570
| Heaton Stannington | Draw | Dunston UTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunston UTS (rating 1500 vs 1570).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heaton Stannington | Dunston UTS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heaton Stannington 1–0–1 Dunston UTS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/25 England Northern League Division One | Heaton Stannington | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dunston UTS |
| 22/10/24 England Northern League Division One | Dunston UTS | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Heaton Stannington |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heaton Stannington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/04 | Ossett United England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/03 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/02 | Blyth Spartans England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 07/02 | Bishop Auckland England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/12 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/10 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
Dunston UTS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Emley AFC England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/03 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/02 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/02 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/01 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heaton Stannington vs Dunston UTS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunston UTS win (38%). Probabilities: Heaton Stannington 34%, draw 28%, Dunston UTS 38%.
How many goals are expected in Heaton Stannington vs Dunston UTS?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Heaton Stannington 1.13 · Dunston UTS 1.23), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Heaton Stannington vs Dunston UTS?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.