Prediction: Carlton Town vs Long Eaton Utd

Team pages: Carlton Town · Long Eaton Utd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Carlton Town1.82
Long Eaton Utd1.1
1X2
54% 24% 22%
Carlton Town Draw Long Eaton Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Carlton Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
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Long Eaton Utd 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Carlton Town 1–1–0 Long Eaton Utd (2 last)
  • Carlton Town4-1Long Eaton Utd
  • Long Eaton Utd1-1Carlton Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlton Town 1482 · Long Eaton Utd 1453
Carlton TownDrawLong Eaton Utd
Our model53%25%22%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Carlton TownLong Eaton Utd
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 21.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.12 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.23.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlton Town 110 Long Eaton Utd

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/01/26
England Northern League Division One
Carlton Town4-1
HT 1-0
Long Eaton Utd
25/08/25
England Northern League Division One
Long Eaton Utd1-1
HT 0-1
Carlton Town

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCarlton TownLong Eaton Utd
Shepshed Dynamo 0-4 L 2-3 L
Boldmere St Michaels 0-5 L 3-0 W
Anstey Nomads 0-6 L 0-1 L
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3-2 W 3-1 W
Rugby Borough 2-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Long Eaton Utd (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlton Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-4 18 L
11/08 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-3 0-5 75 L
28/04 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 78 D
18/04 Sutton Coldfield
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 74 D
24/03 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
0-4 0-6 64 L
03/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 52 W
20/01 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 4-1 45 W
04/11 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 43 W
28/10 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 44 W
07/10 Belper Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 64 W

Long Eaton Utd

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/09 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 34 L
18/08 Coventry United
England Northern League Division One
0-1 L
11/08 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-3 2-3 73 L
28/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 22 D
17/02 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 41 L
03/02 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 17 L
24/01 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-1 54 W
20/01 Carlton Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-4 25 L
06/12 St Neots Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-1 53 W
14/10 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlton Town vs Long Eaton Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carlton Town win (54%). Probabilities: Carlton Town 54%, draw 24%, Long Eaton Utd 22%.

How many goals are expected in Carlton Town vs Long Eaton Utd?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Carlton Town 1.82 · Long Eaton Utd 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Carlton Town vs Long Eaton Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.