Prediction: North Ferriby vs Matlock Town
Team pages: North Ferriby · Matlock Town
- North Ferriby0-3Matlock Town
| North Ferriby | Draw | Matlock Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matlock Town (rating 1450 vs 1531).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Ferriby | Matlock Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Ferriby 0–0–1 Matlock Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/23 England FA Trophy | North Ferriby | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Matlock Town |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Ferriby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Beverley Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Heaton Stannington England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/03 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/02 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/01 | Blyth Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/01 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/12 | Lincoln Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Matlock Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Ossett United England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/03 | Redcar Athletic England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/03 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
4-1 | 7-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/01 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 20/01 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/01 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/12 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/10 | Hallam FC England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Ferriby vs Matlock Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Matlock Town win (48%). Probabilities: North Ferriby 27%, draw 24%, Matlock Town 48%.
How many goals are expected in North Ferriby vs Matlock Town?
The model expects 3.21 goals (North Ferriby 1.36 · Matlock Town 1.85), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in North Ferriby vs Matlock Town?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.