Football · Uruguay Segunda · 19/09, 18:00
Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs Uruguay Montevideo
Team pages: Miramar Misiones · Uruguay Montevideo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Miramar Misiones1.3
Uruguay Montevideo0.99
1X2
Miramar Misiones
Draw
Uruguay Montevideo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Miramar Misiones
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Uruguay Montevideo
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Miramar Misiones
2–2–2
Uruguay Montevideo
(6 last)
- Uruguay Montevideo1-3Miramar Misiones
- Miramar Misiones1-1Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo1-2Miramar Misiones
- Miramar Misiones0-0Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo3-1Miramar Misiones
- Miramar Misiones1-3Uruguay Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1440 · Uruguay Montevideo 1459
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miramar Misiones | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 2–2–2 Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Miramar Misiones |
| 28/08/23 Uruguay Segunda | Miramar Misiones | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 06/05/23 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Miramar Misiones |
| 29/08/22 Uruguay Segunda | Miramar Misiones | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 04/06/22 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Miramar Misiones |
| 25/03/22 Uruguay Segunda | Miramar Misiones | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Uruguay Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Miramar Misiones | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Oriental | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA River Plate | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Tacuarembo | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Plaza Colonia | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| La Luz | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Cerrito | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| CA Atenas | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 0 W 4 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miramar Misiones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 27/07 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 12/07 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/07 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/07 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs Uruguay Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Miramar Misiones win (43%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 43%, draw 30%, Uruguay Montevideo 27%.
How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Miramar Misiones 1.3 · Uruguay Montevideo 0.99), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.