Prediction: Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo
Team pages: Paysandu FC · Tacuarembo
- Tacuarembo1-0Paysandu FC
| Paysandu FC | Draw | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paysandu FC (rating 1513 vs 1466).
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paysandu FC | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 13/38/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 0–0–1 Tacuarembo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Paysandu FC |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paysandu FC | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Colonia | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| La Luz | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| CA River Plate | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Huracan DPA | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Club Oriental | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Colon FC | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paysandu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Tacuarembo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 15 | L |
| 16/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paysandu FC win (40%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 40%, draw 31%, Tacuarembo 29%.
How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Paysandu FC 1.13 · Tacuarembo 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.