Prediction: Cerrito vs La Luz
- La Luz2-0Cerrito
- Cerrito0-0La Luz
- Cerrito1-0La Luz
- La Luz2-2Cerrito
- Cerrito0-0La Luz
- La Luz6-0Cerrito
| Cerrito | Draw | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours La Luz: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerrito | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/44/44% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 4 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.3 | 6.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 1–3–2 La Luz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cerrito |
| 19/04/26 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 0-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 16/08/25 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 1-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 24/05/25 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Cerrito |
| 14/09/24 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 0-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 31/05/24 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Cerrito |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Huracan DPA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerrito | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atenas | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Paysandu FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Huracan DPA | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Club Oriental | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Rentistas | 0-0 D | 2-5 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerrito (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerrito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 22/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 18/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerrito vs La Luz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerrito win (41%). Probabilities: Cerrito 41%, draw 31%, La Luz 28%.
How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs La Luz?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Cerrito 1.1 · La Luz 0.86), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerrito vs La Luz?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.