Football · Uruguay Segunda · 26/09, 21:00

Prediction: CA River Plate vs Colon FC

Team pages: CA River Plate · Colon FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
CA River Plate1.55
Colon FC1.09
1X2
47% 28% 26%
CA River Plate Draw Colon FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CA River Plate 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWWDDLLD
Colon FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDWWLD
Head-to-head
CA River Plate 0–2 Colon FC (2 last)
  • Colon FC2-1CA River Plate
  • Colon FC4-2CA River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA River Plate 1479 · Colon FC 1503
CA River PlateDrawColon FC
Our model47%28%25%
Market47%28%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Colon FC: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA River PlateColon FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/44/11%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.13.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.34.6 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA River Plate 0–0–2 Colon FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/06/26
Uruguay Segunda
Colon FC2-1
HT 1-1
CA River Plate
12/04/26
Uruguay Segunda
Colon FC4-2
HT 2-1
CA River Plate

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA River PlateColon FC
Cerrito 1-1 D 1-0 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0-1 L 1-1 D
CA Atenas 2-3 L 1-4 L
Rentistas 0-0 D 0-1 L
Paysandu FC 0-0 D 2-3 L
Miramar Misiones 3-0 W 1-0 W
Huracan DPA 2-0 W 2-0 W
Tacuarembo 0-1 L 1-0 W
Plaza Colonia 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA River Plate

WDLWWDDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 04 D
13/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 69 L
06/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 66 L
30/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 86 D
22/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 65 D
15/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 14 W
09/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 76 W
02/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
– 0-1 –– L
18/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 76 D
11/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-2 55 W

Colon FC

WLLWWDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 34 D
13/09 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 97 L
06/09 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 56 W
29/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 95 W
22/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 135 D
17/08 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 02 W
08/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 47 W
03/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-4 65 L
25/07 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 73 L
11/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 37 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA River Plate vs Colon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA River Plate win (47%). Probabilities: CA River Plate 47%, draw 28%, Colon FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in CA River Plate vs Colon FC?

The model expects 2.63 goals (CA River Plate 1.55 · Colon FC 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA River Plate vs Colon FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.