Football · Jamaica Premier League · 15/09, 00:30

Prediction: Molynes United FC vs Treasure Beach FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Molynes United FC1.68

Treasure Beach FC1.1

1X2

50% 26% 24%

Molynes United FC Draw Treasure Beach FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Molynes United FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Treasure Beach FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Molynes United FC 1–2–2 Treasure Beach FC (5 last)

Treasure Beach FC0-2Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC1-2Treasure Beach FC
Treasure Beach FC2-2Molynes United FC
Treasure Beach FC2-2Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC1-2Treasure Beach FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molynes United FC 1525 · Treasure Beach FC 1520

	Molynes United FC	Draw	Treasure Beach FC
Our model	50%	26%	24%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Treasure Beach FC: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Molynes United FC	Treasure Beach FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:27 +3’	1.80	3.50	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Molynes United FC 1–2–2 Treasure Beach FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Jamaica Premier League	Treasure Beach FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
11/01/26 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Treasure Beach FC
07/09/25 Jamaica Premier League	Treasure Beach FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
18/02/24 Jamaica Premier League	Treasure Beach FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
23/11/23 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Treasure Beach FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molynes United FC	Treasure Beach FC
Harbour View FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Tivoli Gardens	2-0 W	4-2 W
Racing United FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Spanish Town Police	9-0 W	0-0 D
Chapelton Maroons FC	2-2 D	0-3 L
Montego Bay Utd	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Molynes United FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molynes United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/05	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
28/04	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/04	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
19/04	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
15/04	Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League	2-0	9-0	8	2	W
12/04	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
05/04	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
29/03	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
25/03	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	1	D

Treasure Beach FC

DDWLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/05	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/04	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/04	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
19/04	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
15/04	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	6	L
12/04	Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-2	12	5	L
05/04	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-1	4-2	0	3	W
31/03	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/03	Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molynes United FC vs Treasure Beach FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Molynes United FC win (50%). Probabilities: Molynes United FC 50%, draw 26%, Treasure Beach FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Molynes United FC vs Treasure Beach FC?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Molynes United FC 1.68 · Treasure Beach FC 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Molynes United FC vs Treasure Beach FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.