Football · Jamaica Premier League · 13/09, 22:30
Prediction: Dunbeholden FC vs Cavalier
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Dunbeholden FC0.91
Cavalier1.58
1X2
Dunbeholden FC
Draw
Cavalier
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunbeholden FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Cavalier
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunbeholden FC
2–4
Cavalier
(6 last)
- Cavalier0-2Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC1-0Cavalier
- Cavalier5-1Dunbeholden FC
- Cavalier1-0Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC0-2Cavalier
- Cavalier4-1Dunbeholden FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunbeholden FC 1471 · Cavalier 1531
| Dunbeholden FC | Draw | Cavalier | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 28% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalier (rating 1471 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Cavalier: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunbeholden FC | Cavalier | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6 | 2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunbeholden FC 2–0–4 Cavalier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Cavalier | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 29/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cavalier |
| 21/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Cavalier | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 16/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Cavalier | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 12/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cavalier |
| 07/10/24 Jamaica Premier League | Cavalier | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Dunbeholden FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunbeholden FC | Cavalier |
|---|---|---|
| Waterhouse | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Harbour View FC | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tivoli Gardens | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Racing United FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Arnett Gardens | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Spanish Town Police | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Portmore United | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavalier (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunbeholden FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/03 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Cavalier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/04 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunbeholden FC vs Cavalier?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavalier win (52%). Probabilities: Dunbeholden FC 21%, draw 27%, Cavalier 52%.
How many goals are expected in Dunbeholden FC vs Cavalier?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Dunbeholden FC 0.91 · Cavalier 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunbeholden FC vs Cavalier?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.