Football · Jamaica Premier League · 15/09, 03:00
Prediction: Racing United FC vs Arnett Gardens
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Racing United FC1.28
Arnett Gardens1.16
1X2
Racing United FC
Draw
Arnett Gardens
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing United FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Arnett Gardens
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing United FC
1–3–2
Arnett Gardens
(6 last)
- Arnett Gardens4-0Racing United FC
- Arnett Gardens1-1Racing United FC
- Racing United FC5-1Arnett Gardens
- Arnett Gardens2-2Racing United FC
- Racing United FC0-2Arnett Gardens
- Arnett Gardens1-1Racing United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing United FC 1451 · Arnett Gardens 1544
| Racing United FC | Draw | Arnett Gardens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arnett Gardens (rating 1451 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Arnett Gardens: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing United FC | Arnett Gardens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing United FC 1–3–2 Arnett Gardens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Racing United FC |
| 30/12/25 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
| 26/08/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Arnett Gardens |
| 11/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Racing United FC |
| 05/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Arnett Gardens |
| 30/09/24 Jamaica Premier League | Arnett Gardens | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Racing United FC |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing United FC | Arnett Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Portmore United | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Spanish Town Police | 4-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Cavalier | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Molynes United FC | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Montego Bay Utd | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Dunbeholden FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Waterhouse | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Mount Pleasant FA | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Arnett Gardens (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Arnett Gardens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
5-0 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
5-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/03 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 23/03 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing United FC vs Arnett Gardens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing United FC win (39%). Probabilities: Racing United FC 39%, draw 29%, Arnett Gardens 33%.
How many goals are expected in Racing United FC vs Arnett Gardens?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Racing United FC 1.28 · Arnett Gardens 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing United FC vs Arnett Gardens?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.