Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/10, 02:15
Prediction: Banfield vs Rosario Central
Team pages: Banfield · Rosario Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Banfield0.92
Rosario Central1.4
1X2
Banfield
Draw
Rosario Central
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Rosario Central
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield
3–2–1
Rosario Central
(6 last)
- Rosario Central2-1Banfield
- Rosario Central1-1Banfield
- Rosario Central0-0Banfield
- Banfield3-0Rosario Central
- Banfield2-0Rosario Central
- Rosario Central0-1Banfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield 1455 · Rosario Central 1552
| Banfield | Draw | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 47% |
| Market | 23% | 30% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosario Central (rating 1455 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Banfield: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.6 | 2.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 3–2–1 Rosario Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Banfield |
| 20/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Banfield |
| 30/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 29/08/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Banfield | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Rosario Central |
| 30/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rosario Central |
| 22/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Banfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Independiente Rivadavia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlético Tucumán | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | CA Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Barracas Central | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Aldosivi | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| River Plate | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Newell's | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Racing Club | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Belgrano | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosario Central (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosario Central win (47%). Probabilities: Banfield 23%, draw 30%, Rosario Central 47%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Banfield 0.92 · Rosario Central 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.