Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 16/10, 01:00

Prediction: Huracan vs Gimnasia LP

Team pages: Huracan · Gimnasia LP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Huracan1.24

Gimnasia LP1.03

1X2

40% 31% 29%

Huracan Draw Gimnasia LP

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Huracan 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDWWWL

Gimnasia LP 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDDDD

Head-to-head

Huracan 2–1–3 Gimnasia LP (6 last)

Gimnasia LP0-3Huracan
Huracan0-0Gimnasia LP
Gimnasia LP3-1Huracan
Huracan2-0Gimnasia LP
Gimnasia LP1-0Huracan
Huracan0-1Gimnasia LP

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huracan 1532 · Gimnasia LP 1515

	Huracan	Draw	Gimnasia LP
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	39%	31%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gimnasia LP: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huracan	Gimnasia LP
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.53
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.50 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:28 +4’	2.38	3.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +779’	2.53	2.72	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Huracan 2–1–3 Gimnasia LP

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Gimnasia LP	0-3 HT 0-1	Huracan
01/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Huracan	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia LP
13/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Gimnasia LP	3-1 HT 0-1	Huracan
20/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Huracan	2-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia LP
14/06/23 Argentina Liga Profesional	Gimnasia LP	1-0 HT 0-0	Huracan
31/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	Huracan	0-1 HT 0-0	Gimnasia LP

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rosario Central	12	6	4	2	17	9	22
2	Belgrano	12	6	4	2	14	7	22
3	Argentinos Jrs	12	6	4	2	16	11	22
4	Sarmiento	11	6	1	4	20	17	19
5	Huracan	12	5	4	3	11	10	19
6	Gimnasia LP	12	5	4	3	17	17	19
7	Barracas Central	12	5	3	4	10	9	18
8	Independiente Rivadavia	12	5	3	4	15	19	18
9	River Plate	11	5	1	5	14	12	16
10	Atlético Tucumán	12	3	5	4	10	10	14
11	Banfield	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
12	CA Tigre	12	3	3	6	11	13	12
13	Racing Club	12	3	2	7	13	19	11
14	CA Aldosivi	12	2	2	8	13	20	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	12	1	3	8	6	16	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huracan	Gimnasia LP
Barracas Central	0-2 L	2-0 W
CA Aldosivi	1-0 W	2-1 W
Atlético Tucumán	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huracan

DWLDDDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
04/10	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
20/09	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
14/09	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
05/09	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
30/08	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
23/08	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
09/08	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/08	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Gimnasia LP

WWLLWWDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
03/10	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
19/09	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
13/09	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
05/09	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
29/08	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/08	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-4	2	8	L
09/08	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
02/08	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huracan vs Gimnasia LP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huracan win (40%). Probabilities: Huracan 40%, draw 31%, Gimnasia LP 29%.

How many goals are expected in Huracan vs Gimnasia LP?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Huracan 1.24 · Gimnasia LP 1.03), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Huracan vs Gimnasia LP?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.